Catholic Converts and the Limits of the Trend

The rise in Catholic conversions reflects real intellectual appeal, but it remains a small phenomenon within a broader secularizing culture that calls for pluralistic religious education.

A certain number of college students seem to be converting from Protestantism to Catholicism. Some whispers note that this is relatively frequent at Hillsdale College; others have noticed it as a prominent phenomenon in conservative political circles. But a 2025 Pew Research Study finds that in the country as a whole, Catholicism is losing far more members than it is gaining, and more to the religiously unaffiliated than to Protestants. Whatever the dynamic of conversion of college students to Catholicism, it would seem to be a relatively minor component of modern American religious demographic changes.

Crossing the Tiber is a longstanding phenomenon, particularly for intellectual conservatives of a certain cast of mind. The grounding of ultimate authority, the accumulated weight of Catholic tradition, the elaborations of doctrine and liturgy, the rigor—these attract. Some Protestants and Catholics convert to Orthodox churches for similar reasons. Some Americans, indeed, turn to the Church of England or to Reformed churches from similar motivations. The common denominator is a disenchantment with religious practice and doctrine that substitutes some flavor of Moral Therapeutic Deism for more traditional Christian practice and belief.

More such converts may turn to Catholicism simply because it is a larger presence in America than its rivals. Protestants as a whole may still outnumber Catholics, but they are split into a multitude of denominations, relatively few of which offer a strong challenge to Moral Therapeutic Deism. The Orthodox Churches are still fairly small. Catholicism is itself home to many different forms of practice, and intellectual conservatives may find some of these practices uncongenially woolly. A Catholic Church that promulgates an encyclical on climate change can hardly be deemed the MAGA movement at prayer. Indeed, a large number of college students who convert to Catholicism may be attracted to it precisely because many of its leaders now present it as a champion of environmentalism, social justice, and post-nationalism. Not all religious seekers are traditionalists, and the Catholic Church, like other denominations, has positioned itself to attract the non-traditionalist devout.

Still, the Catholic Church has the advantage for some cerebral traditionalists of size and reputation. John Calvin’s Institutes of the Christian Religion might satisfy the intellectual conservative as much as Thomas Aquinas’s Summa Theologica, but the Institutes have less name recognition than the Summa. And name recognition does matter: seekers may be content with the first house they find.

Then too, Catholicism’s bulk may be a particular attraction in a day when the overwhelming trend is toward secularism—indifference to religion, inflected among many American leftists with outright hostility to Christianity and Judaism. With secularism so great a threat to religious survival, there may be a semi-conscious desire to seek out a large lifeboat. Catholicism and—Baptism, perhaps?—may be struggling for preeminence, to qualify as the last remaining lifeboat to resist the rising tide of secularism. And these concerns may be particularly salient for those who choose to fight for religion in the political realm.

For those of us who work primarily for higher education reform rather than for a particular religious denomination, we must continue to favor a somewhat detached pluralism. The lifeboats we care most about are disciplines, not denominations. Generally, we should favor Biblical literacy as an essential component of learning about Western civilization. Beyond that, America was founded by English Protestants, and Americans should continue to learn the thought of Hooker and Milton, of Bunyan and Wesley. But they also should learn the thought of theologians in a wide variety of Christian denominations, and of other faiths as well. Our universities should teach students about Thomas Aquinas and Abraham Kuyper, about Martin Buber and Rudolf Bultmann, about John Keble and Vladimir Lossky. Our universities should make it possible for students to learn the most compelling works of all faiths.

If they do so, they will complicate the dynamics of conversion to any one faith, simply by making it possible for American students to stumble across compelling works in a dozen faiths, a score, a hundred. But that is one of the businesses of education—to serve the individual as he seeks to develop his soul. And American colleges and universities should be American enough that they ultimately cater to the individual.

That’s American universities as the broadest collective. Of course, denominational colleges can and should seek to form their students within their faith. The pluralism of American universities should be the pluralism of our colleges by the thousands.

American higher education should not suppress the love of God that leads college students to deepen their faith, or to switch from one faith to another. Neither should it guide students in only one direction. It should help students to educate themselves in faith, by teaching them about many faiths. Our colleges and universities should not be a system of seminaries, but they may be proud if their work helps bring students to the Tiber or Geneva, to Jerusalem or Canterbury, or Mount Athos.

Colleges and universities should educate their students to know of many doors for the soul’s delight and repose.

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  1. Respectfully, there are enough errors in the above comment for me to drive a double wing snowplow through.

    First and foremost, you absolutely DO use 2023-2024 data to either validate or refute 2025-2026 data, and I’d be asking why the 2024–2025 data wasn’t also included. Let’s take this out of the controversial issue of religions for a minute and instead presume we were looking at the NAEP data for boys and girls in reading and language arts.

    As an aside, the National Assessment of Educational Progress, sometimes called “the nation’s report card“ is a valuable source of education data that I sincerely hope that Trump administration doesn’t get rid of. There are flaws in the NAEP, and there are major problems with the US department of education, but the NAEP needs to be saved!

    So we’re looking at the “ boy gap” in the NAEP scores, girls have consistently done better than boys here. And we see a one year gain in the boys’ skills — that is significant, but not conclusive of long-term gain.

    A one year gain can be statistical noise, or a result of outside factors. For example, media coverage of the death of Pope Benedict and the selection of Pope Leo made the Catholic Church more visible much as a winning sports teams increases applications to a university.

    Second is a dramatic increase in “empty nest“ millennial couples, as well as the change in parents’ lifestyles when that children get drivers licenses and hence don’t have to be driven everywhere. The children not born in 2008 weren’t high school sophomores in 2023–2024, weren’t high school seniors in 2025–2026, and will be entering college this fall.

    I would offer the null hypothesis that with fewer children in K-12, the soccer moms now have time to go to church.

    Second, as a research method, I would not include births and deaths in calculating what percentage of the existing population is active in a particular religion. Your population sample is living adults and if you’re verse and death remain so much stable over the period they become irrelevant.

    Third, if you population sample does not remain constant and ours is not caused it because of massive immigration, then you not only have to adjust for birth and deaths, but for ALL changes in the population, and that means immigration.

    As central America is a predominantly Catholic region, immigration is far more significant than birth and death because the immigrants are largely Catholic.

    There are a lot of other facts here, including the fact that five years ago, church attendant was criminalized. I respectfully submit the commenter cannot rationally reach the conclusions that he does.

    1. This was in response to William Byrn’s comment and should have appeared below it.

      On second thought, his implied point about the average age of a parishioner has relevance, but I don’t think in the sense he stated it here. While births and deaths will change headcount, if you’re looking at individuals changing from one denomination to another, that can only happen amongst individuals who were already alive and remain alive.

  2. I appreciate the author’s thoughts, but he makes a number of fundamental errors in attempting to assess religious trends.

    First, the Pew data is from 2023-2024. The data on surges in entrants to the Catholic Church is from 2025-2026. You can’t use 2023-2024 data to refute 2025-2026 data.

    Second, you don’t measure growth or decline in a religious group simply by looking at new entrants vs. departures. It consists of births plus entrants minus deaths and departures, which can yield different results.

    Third and most important: Religious revivals are not necessarily — in fact are often not — marked by increases in the number of people who state that they are affiliated with a denomination. Surges in new entrants typically bring surges in vitality to a denomination. In contrast, those dropping the label have typically been inactive for a long time, and a significant number who continue to accept a label are typically also inactive or largely so.

    What matters is how many people are actually in the pews, and how active they are. At this point I don’t think we have much recent data on that.

    Along the lines of this, the author ignores the sharp increase in “religious salience” (as social scientists like to say) for many younger people who were already formally Catholic. The practical impact of this is actually greater than that of converts, because this has been occurring on a larger scale, for about five years now.

  3. Justice Thomas recently said “[Progressivism] holds that our rights and our dignities come not from God, but from government,” adding “It requires of the people a subservience and weakness incompatible with a constitution premised on the transcendent origin of our rights.”

    I would go further and say that over the past 50 years, the three great American religious traditions (Judaism, Catholicism, and Protestantism) have increasingly abandoned enlightenment values for progressive/Marxist values. Hence where religion in America once was based on theWestern Christian Liberal Enlightenment, it now increasingly resembles a watermelon, green on the outside and red on the inside.

    One of the attractions of Catholicism is that until recently, i.e. Pope Francis in 2013 and now continued with Pope Leo, Catholic theology had largely rejected this Marxist influence. In fact, Pope John Paul II was a champion of rights coming from God and not Moscow.

    And having said this, I’ll ask one other question. Exactly what part of “Kill the Jews” do American Jews not understand?

    There is evil in this world and merely wishing there wasn’t is not going to make it go away. For 47 years, there have been a bunch of anti-American crazies, expressing their desire to destroy both the “little Satan and big Satan.“

    The mistake the world made a century ago was not listening to a man named Hitler when he was telling everyone what he intended to do. He even outlined it in a book, and yet the world slept.

    That led to the genocidal slaughter at least 30 million civilians — over 12 million by the National Socialists and probably twice that many by the Soviets, in addition to the carnage of histoty’s most destructive and bloody war.

    But the Nazis didn’t have nukes, and but for Donald Trump’s bold action, the Iranians would’ve had eleven of them a couple of weeks ago. Incinerating Israel is a given, but they want to kill all of us as well, and touching off a nuke in the continental United States wouldn’t be that difficult if you don’t mind dying in the process.

    We’re talking about something not that much bigger than a beer keg, and those of us with a background in student affairs know just how intrepid undergraduates are in smuggling those into dorms. It’d weigh probably half a ton, but that’s ten bags of Portland cement, contractors go down the road with that in the back of their pick up trucks on a daily basis.

    A bomb could be smuggled in via a 20 or 40 foot long shipping container, dropped onto a truck or train as these containers are, and be anywhere in the country within 18 to 24 hours. (Not legally, but I doubt terrorists are gonna have logbooks and observe limits on hours of operation.)

    Or a bomb could be brought in by by boat, either commercial ship or yacht. A nuke touched off in any of our Atlantic, Gulf,or Pacific Coast ports would be devastating. And isn’t it possible to sail a yacht up the Potomac to downtown DC?

    And it isn’t even necessary to have a bomb that achieves fission — merely wrapping 60% uranium around an explosive and detonating the explosive will create a so-called dirty bomb that will spew deadly but invisible radiation over a large area with tragic consequences.

    I won’t get into the Christians currently being slaughtered, in large numbers, in portions of the Middle East and Africa — we’re talking about people who want to kill US, and but for President Trump, would already have the means to do so.

    Exodus 22.2 is in both the Christian Bible and Jewish Torah, it clearly states the right of self-defense which arguably is also a duty. And what I cannot understand are the leaders of our three great religious traditions totally ignoring both this and the nature of the threat which is confronting.

    Above and beyond beyond believing our rights and our dignities come not from God, but from government, I wonder how many of our clergy still believe in the inherent difference between good and evil.

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