Most of the problems with student loans are due to a misalignment of incentives. There are three parties to a student loan: the student, the lender—meaning the federal government because we use a government-as-lender system—and the college. A good student loan system would align the incentives so that no party can benefit by making the others worse off. Unfortunately, our current student loan system does not do this.
In particular, it is distressingly common for a student to take out a loan that turns out to be a bad investment. This has negative consequences for the student, including wasted years, wage garnishment, and lowered credit scores. It also has negative consequences for the government, which is never repaid the money it lent. But while both the student and the government are hurt by such loans, the college benefits because they get paid up front and they get to keep all the money. This misalignment of incentives, in which colleges can benefit from loans that leave the student and the government worse off, leads to massive problems with student loans, including over-indebtedness for some students, wasteful spending by colleges, and massive government losses from the student loan programs.
The most straightforward solution to these problems is to align incentives so that colleges only benefit from a loan when the student and the government benefit too. This idea goes by various names like skin in the game or risk sharing, but the common thread is to eliminate the misalignment of incentives. There is bipartisan support for this principle (see for example, the proposals collected by the Center for American Progress from across the ideological spectrum). But given the recent election results, the most likely vehicle to introduce risk sharing is the College Cost Reduction Act (CCRA) put forward by House Republicans.
The CCRA contains many provisions, but the key financing provisions are the introduction of a risk-sharing payment and the creation of Promise grants. The risk-sharing provision would charge colleges for a portion of government losses on a loan when the student fails to repay in full. The Promise grant portion would give extra funding to colleges that increase their students’ earnings by more than the student paid to attend the college.
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This would result in dramatically better incentives for colleges. Instead of being rewarded for enrolling any student in any major, colleges would now be rewarded for increasing their completion rates, charging lower tuition and/or reducing time to degree, enrolling more students in high-demand majors, and enrolling more students from low-income families. Some colleges are already doing a better job at this than others, and the rest would be incentivized to mimic them.
Consider how this would play out among the five largest public traditional colleges. Penn State would lose $11 million, Texas A&M would gain $7 million, Ohio State would lose $8 million, University of Central Florida would gain $33 million, and the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign would lose $2 million.
While the colleges that gain will naturally be happy, I want to emphasize two things about the losses for the colleges that would lose money.
First, the losses for colleges are small. The $11 million loss for Penn State, the $8 million loss for Ohio State, and the $2 million loss for Illinois all amount to just 0.1% of each of their total revenue. These losses would be easy to make up for. For example, Ohio State spends $20 million a year on “diversity, equity, and inclusion” (DEI) administrators, which means their $8 million loss could be paid for by cutting the DEI budget by just 40 percent. Assuming the same cost per DEI administrator for Penn State and Illinois as at Ohio State, Penn state could cover their $11 million payment by cutting their DEI budget by 98 percent, and Illinois could cover their $2 million payment by cutting their DEI budget by 16 percent.
Second, these financial effects are static, meaning they assume the colleges don’t change anything. But one of the main purposes of implementing a risk sharing program is to change college incentives with the expectation that this will then change college behavior. Since the risk sharing payments are assessed at the program level, one of the main behavioral changes would be shuffling resources among programs within a college as low-performing programs are reformed or closed and successful programs are expanded.
For example, Penn State could cut their risk sharing payments by 25 percent just by eliminating its professional law degree, which saddles students with too much debt. It could cut the payment in half by also eliminating three low-performing master’s degrees—human resources, English, and student counseling—and three low-performing bachelor’s degrees—psychology, human development, and criminal justice. Those resources could then be used to expand Penn State’s successful nursing, engineering, and MBA programs, all of which have $0 risk-sharing payments because those graduates see a big boost to earnings relative to the cost of the program.
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At Ohio State, eliminating just eight low-performing graduate programs would reduce the college’s risk sharing payment by almost 70 percent. These resources could then be used to expand the college’s successful bachelor’s degree programs in business, real estate, nursing, and engineering. But OSU also illustrates another way colleges could respond. One of the low performing programs was a professional degree in dentistry which would account for about three percent of OSU’s risk sharing payment. Graduates from the OSU dental program get good jobs, earning an additional $128,000 over four years after graduating. The problem is that OSU charges an arm and leg for the program, almost $200,000. As a result, the typical borrower in this program leaves with almost $240,000 in student loans. Thus, rather than close the Dentistry program, OSU could just lower the price of the program.
At Illinois, almost one third of the college’s risk sharing payment is due to a single program, the master’s degree in social work. Graduates from this program see little change in their earnings but take on an average of more than $52,000 in debt. Eliminating that program, and a master’s degree program in library science and administration would cut Illinois’ risk sharing payments in half. Those resources could then be used to expand the successful master’s degree programs in animal sciences and community and regional planning.
It is natural that colleges resist being held accountable.
Colleges have grown accustomed to getting massive checks from taxpayers and facing no accountability for how they use it. But that doesn’t mean we should listen to colleges’ pleas to avoid accountability and continue to send them money with no strings attached. Risk sharing is an ideal string to attach to taxpayer funding. Risk sharing would benefit students—by reducing college costs and lowering debt— and taxpayers—by reducing the losses on student loans that go bad. I would even argue that risk sharing would benefit colleges in the long term because as low-performing programs are closed and resources are reallocated to establish or expand high-performing programs, colleges will be a more appealing option for students, and colleges can make a stronger case to legislators about the value they create for society.
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‘The problem is that OSU charges an arm and leg for the program, almost $200,000. As a result, the typical borrower in this program leaves with almost $240,000 in student loans. Thus, rather than close the Dentistry program, OSU could just lower the price of the program.’
Has the author, supposedly an economist, considered the fact that dental is a costly program, as reflected in the high tuition?
“The risk-sharing provision would charge colleges for a portion of government losses on a loan when the student fails to repay in full.”
According to his statistics, an OSU Dental grad only earns $32,000 more a year than a similarly situated person who didn’t go to dental school. He’s implying that the extra $32,000 in annual earning isn’t enough to repay the $240,000 loan, $40,000 of which was from undergrad days.
The real question is how many OSU Dental grads don’t repay their loans?
If it’s a lot, then dental school is too expensive relative to the wages of dentists.
Doesn’t matter how costly the program is, it’s unaffordable. Even if it is half the price of BU’s dental school, if the OSU grads can’t repay their loans, the program should be eliminated.
THAT is simple economics — reduce the price or eliminate the program.
The other question is if this is accurate: “Graduates from the OSU dental program get good jobs, earning an additional $128,000 over four years after graduating.” That’s where I get my 32,000 per year figure from.
Indeed.com reports the average salary of a dentist in Ohio as being $237,609, with a low of $158,629 and a high of $355,913. That strikes me as considerably more than the average (undergrad) college grad because the median wage in Ohio is $39,680.
Which, of course, goes back to how many OSU Dental graduates are in default on their student loans (and why) — if, in fact, a lot are. Every dentist I know is either self employed or his own LLC but Ohio may be different and maybe there are a lot of unemployed dentists in Ohio.
One can easily find out on the web that the average base pay of OSU dental grads is $145K. That is starting pay. Sounds decent to me.
Now THAT is simple economics!
“the average base pay of OSU dental grads is $145K”
Base pay is not starting pay — base pay does not include overtime, bonuses, stock options, or deferred compensation. Unless this is average STARTING base pay, and it may be as it is close to what Indeed.com reports as the average starting pay.
So let’s say it is — the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (FPB) recommends that the total sum of student loans not exceed the annual starting salary — hence $145,000 with the OSU Dental grad having $240,000 or nearly twice that. Furthermore, the CFPB is presuming that housing doesn’t exceed 30% of income and it often does.
Biden’s proposed income based repayment proposes to use 10% of DISCRETIONARY income, which is less housing, food and other necessities.
If Dentistry is so profitable, why aren’t hedge funds paying it with agreements that students they pay for work for them for a decade or so. The US Health Service once had a program like this for MDs — the 1990s show Northern Exposure was about a NY Jew who winds up in rural Alaska via this — see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vw2bC3KYaQE
A mortgage is secured by the value of the property, a car loan by the value of the car.
While a student loan is collected by the ability to destroy the student’s future, it can not be secured that way in that the student can’t be sold into slavery. Or more precisely, there is no financial return to use toward recovering the value of the loan, although what happens to the student can be described as approaching that of a slave.
As an aside, I have heard that once a loan goes into default, it can not be repaid — i.e. the government will never get the money back — instead the servicer is allowed to keep whatever they may be able to get out of the student.
The “Holder in Due Course” rule was instituted to protect consumers from collection on debts where they had legitimate defenses. We have lemon laws to protect consumers who purchase a defective automobile, be it with cash or credit. And we have laws that protect those who buy homes.
We need a similar law to protect consumers who take out student loans, and this would be a good first start. Colleges and universities would have to guarantee their products like everyone else does.